The Fed Reserve tells us what it thinks

Not everybody loves meetings and even fewer enjoy reading the minutes, but investors make an exception with the Federal Reserve. This week the Fed published the minutes from its Aug. 1 meeting. While no changes were made to interest rates, the minutes did provide insight to how the Fed sees the U.S. economy.

Key Insights:

The economy is strong. The economy is poised for its best annual growth in a decade due to stimulation from tax cuts and federal spending. The current nine-year bull market is about to be the longest bull market in history and the stock market hit a new high last week. Inflation is back to the 2 percent range, after missing for several years, and the already tight labor market continues to tighten, reported The Wall Street Journal.

When will the Fed stop raising rates? The Fed is all but guaranteed to raise rates in September, with market odds at a 96 percent probability and a 60 percent probability for another hike in December. The Fed will continue its gradual interest rate increases for now as long as economic activity is consistently expanding at a sustainable rate. The minutes revealed the Fed governors will soon revise its policy stance from “accommodative to neutral,” reported MarketWatch.

What does the Fed think about tariffs? The Fed is aware tariffs could derail their initial plan of steady rate hikes. Although concerned about President Trump’s tariffs, they are waiting for economic data to assess the damage. They did, however, say tariffs would have “adverse effects on business sentiment, investment spending, and employment. Moreover, wide-ranging tariff increases would also reduce the purchasing power of U.S. households,” reported The New York Times.

HOW WOULD YOU ASK FOR A RAISE?

When CNBC asked business author Suzy Welch how someone should ask for a raise she explained, “The key ... is an approach that includes research and emphasizes your achievements.” She recommended three basic steps:

Time your request right. Ask after a big win, a positive performance review, or when being asked to accept more responsibility.

Prove your case. Be prepared to explain why you deserve a raise, including your achievements and results.

Establish a time frame for action. If your boss isn’t prepared to provide an answer immediately, end your meeting by asking when you can expect a response.

When Willy Appelman of Fast Company asked children at the Underhill Playground how they would ask a boss for a raise, the kids believed the keys to success were good manners, hard work, baked goods, and physical appearance. Here are some of their recommendations:

“Ask them politely and say: Can I please have a raise because I’ve been really working hard this week.”

“Go up to your boss and say: Is it OK if I have some more money?”

“I would give them desserts, like pastry and cookies.”

“Make sure you look weaker than your employer so they have power and they might feel merciful ...”

This article was provided by Peterson Wealth Management. For more information, call 775-423-8007 or visit PetersonWM.com.